Skeptonomics
sorting social science fact from fiction

Free Staters vote monolithically (on liberty issues)

Published by Skeptikos on Sep 10, 2013

William Tucker uses the NH Liberty Ratings graph [edit: sorry, link is broken for now] to argue that 'Free State Project lawmakers form [a] monolithic voting bloc'. But the data isn't on his side.

Here's his modified graph, with Free Staters colored green:

On the y-axis, which measures the Liberty Ratings from the NHLA, some people may see a monolith. Free Staters are all clustered in the top quarter of the graph-- not surprising, since Free Staters claim to vote for liberty.

On the x-axis, however, the argument falls apart. Free Staters range halfway across the spectrum. Michael Sylvia, at .98, is farther right than Bill O'Brien. Joel Winters, on the other hand, is about on par with rogue, moderate Republican Susan Emerson. Any bloc that contains these two rival ends of the Republican Party isn't a bloc at all, much less a monolithic one. And since this axis measures the left/right spectrum, it's the axis most partisans care about.

Tucker seems to overcome this discrepancy by excluding Joel Winters from the Free Stater 'bloc'. But on what grounds? Joel Winters is as much a Free Stater as any of the others, with a Liberty Rating to prove it. In fact, he was the first elected Free Stater in New Hampshire.

And although it isn't apparent on the graph, he isn't an outlier. The two legislators closest to him on this graph are Steve Vaillancourt and Neal Kurk, two high-profile libertarians. Together, these three demonstrate that this is a space libertarians (and Free Staters) actually inhabit.

Libertarians are usually dismissive of the traditional left/right spectrum. To a large extent, this graph reflects that. There are enough conflicts with the left's economic policies that libertarians don't reside on that side of the graph, but otherwise they're all over the place, from the middle to the far right.

So as far as liberals and conservatives are concerned, there really isn't a Free Stater bloc, just a diverse group of people trying to push their own quirky agenda, who at times align with the right, but often don't align with either side.

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